- Icebreakers
- Everyone wears those name tag things
- Some sort of competition to make them act unnatural
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- Map and territory, simple truth
- Question about sarah and marry's box of cookies
- Lawful uncertainty
- Pull up a thing that measures uncertainty by flashing red to yellow cards 60% of the time and give people imaginary points based on how many they get right (and give
- Can make that web app in react very easily
- Mysterious answers to mysterious questions
- Maybe explain flogiston, then encourage them to figure out themselves what's different between that explaintion?
- Predictions for the future you swap around what's true or not
Prepare arguments for a debate, then, at the last minute, right before presenting, switch them around and have them just go.
Expected learnings?
We should do a bet with points at the beginning of every session. Bet on some fact.
How will I know all the points?
— — — — — — — —
Exercises
- Hamming Problems
- Playing taboo
- Divide into 2 teams
- Designate one person and place pile of cards for 2 minutes
- Clue giver draws one card and gives teammate hints to guess the word on the card.
- Oh god
- Play online
- Betting and making predictions (reward the person who has the most every 3 weeks)
- Credence Calibration Icebreaker v1.pdf - Google Drive
- Do a weekly review
- Everyone right down what confusing questions they have / keep track of confusing questions for the week
- Idealogical turing test
- The moon landing was faked
- Vaccinations are a lie
- The earth is flat
- Whoever can come up with the most convincing case for any of these wins a pin
- First we read “what do I mean by rationality”
- Then we do idealogical turing test
- But we only have 5 minutes to prepare (because Yoda Timers)
- Do it as individuals (but if not everyone is doing it then that sucks)
- Double cruxing
- -- -- -- --
- Oliver
- Nikola - Fermi estimations
- Given a person who’s a shy, library, what’s more likely (priors, adjusting estimates that way)
- Heart of rationality begins after you’ve dealt with emotions. Normal way to interpret is “wanna suppress emotions”. Your emotions suppress you even if you suppress
- https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/toFESsZBQEZ4wq9od/games-for-rationalists
- Need to first deal with emotions. Expose them, feel them to their fullest, be very aware of them when making decisions.
- When anger, can’t think of things other than own point of view.
- In general, has immense respect for emotions
- When understanding someone, understanding emotions behind their words is important
- Play a game, read a post, play a game
- Hpmor is own audience. Anyone who enjoys feeling smart loves
- In these walls, don’t lie. Flip a coin, every 10th time, say “i prefer not to answer”
- Exercising for truth might be?
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- Show a homeless person on the board. What might we say to ourselves in our heads? List out everything. Which of these are actually true?
Instrumental rationality techniques to learn
- Yoda Timers
- Write out 300 words in five minutes (first calculate typing speed)?
- Cashing out shoulds
Prefer to make things competitive, somehow.
Next season:
- Chicken
- Prisoners dillema
- Two players don't communicate before their round. Both have to say an integer between 0 and 7. (Nikola: don't cap it at 7). A none negative integer
- They both have to play some integer, if the sum is greater than 7, they both get 0 points. if the sum is 7 or smaller, they both get points equal to the number they said.
- They both have to write in their answer. They played the game with zero communication, and didn't know who they were playing against.
- You have to play it for an uncertain number of rounds (you can choose a uniform distribution between 1 and 10)
- Time between each round is like 20 minutes
- Game Theory
- You have to model the other person. Practice for coordination.
- With multiple people: there's one gamemaster who sets up all the rounds. You make every player go through with other players, and some up the points they earn
- Simplest to do it through text chat. They both send messages to me. Might be a
- Might be best to write a python script
- The site could randommise the number of rounds and pair people up and tell them where to go
- Schelling point
- Oh my god, just say that rationality society will meet at a schelling point, and have it not be Ec4!
- Trial by Tolley
- Board games / ratoinality games
- Get people to become friends
- Cards against rationality (buy it!)
Rationality (notion.site)
Day
Okay, what day to put it on? Can't do mondays cos they keep getting killed by exeats.
Still really want to go to dinner with people afterwards.
Mondays at 6pm: Clashes with Orchestra
Econ soc is wednesdays at 6
Tuesdays at 6pm: Clashes with MUN Seniors & Tricky Physics and Tricky Chemistry
Thursdays: Hanmer can't come
Ok tuesdays at 6 is the best day. Gonna have to tank whoever wants to go to tricky chem instead.
Ok, last stop, send out the email!
I want Poppy to be able to come though, and I don't want to clash with the scholars thing. Do I really miss that many days by putting it on a monday?
But on tuesdays Charlie and Alex sometimes can come. As well as Yianne. And maybe nicholas dun..
(Alena, Hanmer, Casey, Mathea,
not theo if he does PPE)
Actual session plans
Ok, over the term I should work on buying these games and trying them out so we can play one each session. But I think for the first session going over the rest of the virtues of rationality is okay.
Session 1
- Go over the rest of the twelve virtues of rationality
- How to make it more interesting?
- Have everyone write two stories. One where the person is portraying the virtue, and one where they aren't. Then they'll draw a dice and say the story. Everyone else has to guess if they're saying the virtue or if they're not.
- But do they know the values enough for this to make any sense?
- They can do it with their partners. Make a short speech.
- And if they get it wrong or misinterpret it then we'll talk about it for the rest of the session.
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Session 2